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An Estimate of Future Company Cash Flow

Posted on 09/06/17

Cash flow is one of the most important factors in a business exit. Today, we look at why securing a professional estimate of your company’s cash flow is crucial to the success of your Exit Plan. All buyers, whether an outside third party or an insider (family member, co-owner, or key employee), will use cash flow as a way of measuring or confirming the value of the companies they buy.

While there are many definitions of cash flow, the one that we often use is free cash flow. Free cash flow is the portion of the annual net cash flow from operating activities that remains available for discretionary purposes after the business has met its basic financial obligations. In this discussion, the “discretionary purpose” is the buyer’s purchase of or return on investment for the owner’s interest in the company.

If you are contemplating a sale to insiders, remember that they likely do not have enough cash to finance the purchase. It may be the future cash flow of your business (once you leave it) that funds your buy out. As you can see, in transfers to insiders, cash flow can be both the measure and the means of ownership transfer. As such, it is important to estimate future cash flow as accurately as possible. This is not a “back of the napkin” exercise; a thorough analysis will give you more confidence in your plans for the future.

Once you have an accurate professional estimate of future cash flow, you can assess various Exit Paths, and your advisors can design an exit strategy that puts as much of that cash flow as possible in your pocket. Accurate cash flow estimates can also minimize the taxes you pay upon an ownership transfer. Remember, every dollar the IRS takes is one dollar less paid to you, regardless of whether the buyer or seller pays the tax.

Let’s assume for a moment that the company’s cash flow estimate indicates that it cannot support all of your Exit Objectives. You will then explore alternatives to your original plan and answer important questions:

  • Should you delay your departure date?
  • Should you focus your attention on a third-party sale and, if so, are a higher purchase price and/or more cash upfront possible?
  • Should you shift your focus to building cash flow and business value before you begin to sell ownership?

Securing an accurate estimate of future cash flow can help prevent you from choosing a dead-end Exit Path. It can give you confidence that you are on the right track or uncover areas that require more work before you can exit the business. For most owners, calculating estimated future cash flow is an integral part of creating a successful Exit Plan.

For more information about obtaining an accurate cash flow estimate, contact us today. We can help guide you through the process.

The information contained in this article is general in nature and is not legal, tax or financial advice. For information regarding your particular situation, contact an attorney or a tax or financial advisor. The information in this newsletter is provided with the understanding that it does not render legal, accounting, tax or financial advice. In specific cases, clients should consult their legal, accounting, tax or financial advisor. This article is not intended to give advice or to represent our firm as being qualified to give advice in all areas of professional services. Exit Planning is a discipline that typically requires the collaboration of multiple professional advisors. To the extent that our firm does not have the expertise required on a particular matter, we will always work closely with you to help you gain access to the resources and professional advice that you need.

This is an opt-in newsletter published by Business Enterprise Institute, Inc., and presented to you by our firm.  We appreciate your interest.

Any examples provided are hypothetical and for illustrative purposes only. Examples include fictitious names and do not represent any particular person or entity.

About the Author

Robert J. Lane CPA

Kerkering, Barberio & Co.
1990 Main Street, Suite 801
Sarasota, FL  34236
(941) 365-4617
rlane@kbgrp.com

Mr. Lane serves as Managing Shareholder of Kerkering Barberio. His practice areas include Audit, Advisory and AssuranceEnterprise Risk ManagementNonprofit Organization Services and Succession (Exit) Planning.  As an Audit shareholder, he is responsible for audits and reviews of entities in a variety of industries, including large nonprofit organizations, general contractors and manufacturers.  He also leads the firm’s Succession (Exit) Planning practice, assisting business owners as they navigate through one of their most important financial decisions.

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